Market Entry & Intelligence

Peru’s Presidential Removal: What American Investors Need to Know

Peru’s Presidential Removal: What American Investors Need to Know

Pholus Advisory | 10/10/2025
Peru’s Congress removed President Dina Boluarte early Friday morning with 121 votes, citing “permanent moral incapacity” to address organized crime. This marks Peru’s third president since 2022. The same Congress that removed Pedro Castillo has now removed his successor. As someone who has facilitated thousands of cross-border transactions across Latin…
Donor Rules Followed, Funds Misused: The Illusion of Compliance

Donor Rules Followed, Funds Misused: The Illusion of Compliance

Pholus Advisory | 08/27/2025
In complex operating environments, compliance can become a performance. Financial reports are submitted on time. Procurement procedures are formally documented. Spending appears aligned with approved budgets. And yet—funds go missing, services fall short, and outcomes deteriorate. When donor rules are followed but money is still misused, the problem is not…
Why Your Due Diligence Might Be Setting You Up to Fail

Why Your Due Diligence Might Be Setting You Up to Fail

Pholus Advisory | 06/11/2025
Investors and corporate strategists treat due diligence as a shield against unpleasant surprises. Yet many reviews rely on static checklists and desk research that overlook shifting power structures, informal networks, and on-the-ground realities. When those blind spots collide with complex environments, deals stall, assets underperform, and reputations suffer. A stronger…
How to Spot the Early Signs of Local Ad Agency Drift

How to Spot the Early Signs of Local Ad Agency Drift

Pholus Advisory | 05/16/2025
In emerging or unfamiliar markets, many international organizations turn to local advertising agencies to execute outreach, mobilization, or visibility campaigns. When the partnership functions well, it delivers cultural resonance, logistical efficiency, and measurable impact. But over time, even the most promising local agency relationships can experience drift—subtle shifts in focus,…
Want to Know Who’s in Charge? Follow the Ad Approvals, Not the Org Chart

Want to Know Who’s in Charge? Follow the Ad Approvals, Not the Org Chart

Pholus Advisory | 05/09/2025
Titles, reporting lines, and organizational charts often paint a clean picture of governance. But in complex or fragile markets, these formal structures rarely reflect operational reality. Power flows along lines of trust, control, and narrative—not just hierarchy. Nowhere is this clearer than in the advertising and communications process. If you…
Does Your Project Have Hidden Ties to Organized Crime? Here’s What to Look For

Does Your Project Have Hidden Ties to Organized Crime? Here’s What to Look For

Pholus Advisory | 04/11/2025
In high-risk regions, development projects, corporate investments, and even humanitarian operations can unknowingly intersect with organized crime. These links may be indirect, buried in supply chains, local subcontracting, or political patronage networks. Whether you’re deploying capital or delivering aid, exposure to organized crime presents not only a legal risk but…
How to Spot Founders Who Only Pretend to Align with Donor Priorities

How to Spot Founders Who Only Pretend to Align with Donor Priorities

Pholus Advisory | 02/16/2025
Donor priorities—whether tied to governance, inclusion, sustainability, or transparency—are not just ideals. They shape how funding is allocated, how outcomes are measured, and how partnerships are judged. Yet in many settings, especially in fragile or transitional environments, some founders learn to mimic these priorities without embracing them. They speak the…
How to Communicate With Vendors After an Internal Misuse of Funds

How to Communicate With Vendors After an Internal Misuse of Funds

Pholus Advisory | 01/16/2025
When internal misuse of funds is uncovered—whether through fraud, mismanagement, or error—the immediate focus often turns to donors, auditors, or internal controls. But vendors are part of the risk environment too. If they’ve been underpaid, left waiting, or dragged into a dispute they didn’t cause, the damage goes beyond invoices.…
What Is Regulatory Arbitrage — and Why It Puts Your Investment at Risk

What Is Regulatory Arbitrage — and Why It Puts Your Investment at Risk

Pholus Advisory | 01/16/2025
In cross-border investment and development work, regulatory arbitrage is often misunderstood as clever strategy. At its core, it involves exploiting differences between jurisdictions to bypass strict rules, reduce oversight, or access financial or legal loopholes. While it can offer short-term advantages, it introduces serious long-term risks. For investors, donors, and…
There’s No Excuse for Auditors Who Ignore Red Flags — Especially From Distant Jurisdictions

There’s No Excuse for Auditors Who Ignore Red Flags — Especially From Distant Jurisdictions

Pholus Advisory | 12/02/2024
Auditors play a central role in safeguarding institutional integrity. But when red flags arise—particularly in high-risk or opaque jurisdictions—some auditors look the other way. Whether due to distance, pressure, or deference, ignoring warning signs isn’t just a professional lapse. It’s a systemic failure that enables fraud, exposes investors, and leaves…
Why Flashy International Ad Agencies Often Underperform in Informal Economies

Why Flashy International Ad Agencies Often Underperform in Informal Economies

Pholus Advisory | 10/12/2024
International ad agencies often arrive in informal economies armed with polished decks, global portfolios, and high production values. They speak the language of awards and metrics. But despite their creative assets, many of these firms consistently underdeliver. In economies where cash circulates off the books, trust is earned in person,…
How to Know If Your Local Campaign Is Actually Driving Demand

How to Know If Your Local Campaign Is Actually Driving Demand

Pholus Advisory | 09/08/2024
In complex or fragmented markets, local campaigns often get greenlit based on urgency or proximity, not evidence. Billboards go up. Radio ads run. Local agencies report “good engagement.” But actual demand doesn’t materialize. Whether you are funding a program, investing in a startup, or backing an advocacy initiative, knowing whether…
When Local Counsel Doesn’t Push Back, You’re in Trouble

When Local Counsel Doesn’t Push Back, You’re in Trouble

Pholus Advisory | 07/15/2024
Hiring local counsel is a standard step in international projects, especially in fragile or politically complex jurisdictions. But the assumption that local legal advisors are safeguarding your interests can become a liability when their silence masks deeper risks. Deference, fear, or institutional capture can lead to a dangerous dynamic: a…
When Growth Doesn’t Add Up: Signs a Startup May Be a Laundering Front

When Growth Doesn’t Add Up: Signs a Startup May Be a Laundering Front

Pholus Advisory | 06/06/2024
In emerging markets and fragile jurisdictions, abnormal startup growth is often praised without scrutiny. Revenue appears before traction. Headcount surges without a clear business model. Offices expand while customer numbers remain opaque. Sometimes, these signals point to aggressive scaling. Other times, they point to something more serious: a front for…
Search
Connect with us.

Get real world insights with no recycled talking points.

Book Pholus for a Speaking Engagement

When the stakes are high, theory isn't enough. Our talks are shaped by real terrain.

Facing a critical situation?

Get practical insights for complex markets. No jargon. No noise.